- Michael R. Raupach et al (2007) – Global and regional drivers of accelerating CO2 emissions – Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences PNAS 104:10288–10293 – 12/06/2007 – Global Carbon Project, Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation, Marine and Atmospheric Research, Canberra – Peer Reviewed
“CO2 emissions from fossil-fuel burning and industrial processes have been accelerating at a global scale, with their growth rate increasing from 1.1% y−1 for 1990–1999 to >3% y−1 for 2000–2004. The emissions growth rate since 2000 was greater than for the most fossil-fuel intensive of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change emissions scenarios developed in the late 1990s. - Corinne Le Quéré, Michael R. Raupach, Josep G. Canadell, Gregg Marland et al (2009) – Trends in the sources and sinks of carbon dioxide – Nature Geoscience doi: 10.1038/ngeo689 – Published online: 17/11/2009 – School of Environment Sciences, University of East Anglia – 24 authors – Peer Reviewed
“CO2 emissions from the burning of fossil fuels have increased at an average annual rate of 3.4 per cent between 2000 and 2008, compared with one per cent per year in the 1990s … Emissions from coal are now the dominant fossil fuel emission source, surpassing 40 years of oil emission prevalence … A quarter of the growth in CO2 emissions in developing countries can be accounted for by an increase in international trade of goods and services.” - Committee on Abrupt Climate Change, National Research Council – Abrupt Climate Change: Inevitable Surprises – The National Academies Press (2002) – http://www.nap.edu/openbook.php?isbn=0309074347 – Peer Reviewed
“Recent scientific evidence shows that major and widespread climate changes have occurred with startling speed. For example, roughly half the north Atlantic warming since the last ice age was achieved in only a decade, and it was accompanied by significant climatic changes across most of the globe. Similar events, including local warmings as large as 16°C, occurred repeatedly during the slide into and climb out of the last ice age.” - Rajendra K. Pachauri (2004) – Climate and humanity – Global Environmental Change 14:101-103 – Peer Reviewed
“It is now becoming increasingly clear that the transition from one equilibrium condition to another may not be smooth. The sensitivity of systems to climate change may be nonlinear, complex and completely discontinuous. This could lead to very rapid, large magnitude and unexpected impacts on local, regional and global scales. Even more serious is the fact that the impact could lag the trigger by decades to even a century.”
- Special report: The facts about overconsumption – New Scientist15/10/2008 – http://www.newscientist.com/article/dn14950-special-report-the-facts-about-overconsumption.html
“The two sets of graphs, right, illustrate how human activity has changed since the beginning of the Industrial Revolution, and the impacts that our societies have had on the Earth as a whole.” - Ralph M. Rotty (1979) – Atmospheric CO2 Consequences of Heavy Dependence on Coal – Environmental Health Perspectives 33:273-283 – Institute for Energy Analysis, Oak Ridge Associated Universities
“The release of carbon as CO2 as a result of fossil fuel use has been increasing at an exponential rate for more than 100 years or so … The effects on global climate may well become apparent suddenly, and because of the great momentum developed by the machinery that produces man’s energy, could grow out of control before remedial actions become effective” - James Lovelock (2009) – The Vanishing Face of Gaia. A Final Warning – Allen Lane, Penguin Books – 178 pp – ISBN 978-1-846-14185-0 – p. 34
“I found that as the CO2 was added, at first the global temperature changed only slightly and this was because the system was in negative feedback and resisted the perturbation, but as the carbon dioxide abundance approached 400 ppm in the air, signs of instability appeared, shown by the amplification of small temperature fluctuations … they become [then] amplifiers of change … Then suddenly, between 400 and 500 ppm of CO2, a small increase of heat or CO2 causes a sudden 5 ºC rise of temperature. After that the model planet stabilizes again and resists further increases of CO2.” - Richard Monastersky (2009) – A Burden beyond Bearing. – Nature, 458:1091-1094 – 30/04/2009 – http://www.nature.com/news/2009/090429/full/4581091a.html – Peer Reviewed
“The climate situation may be even worse than you think … That’s an extremely difficult target … our options are essentially exhausted. We have to bend down our emissions by 2020.” - BBC: Population, the topic so big most ignore it, get’s a look – Knight Science Journalism Tracker 24/08/2009 – http://ksjtracker.mit.edu/?p=10659
“Earlier this year Britain’s chief science adviser, John Beddington, warned of a “perfect storm” arising that may bring food, water, and energy shortages and competitions to simultaneous global crisis in another 20 years. Today the BBC began an examination of that assertion, with an overview from its correspondent Stephen Mulvey.” - Ian Dunlop – The Perfect Storm – ALP Fringe Program 31/07/2009 – Independent Governance & Sustainability Advisor – http://cpd.org.au/article/its-time-heed-evidence-climate-change-full-paper
“The science indicates that a 2oC temperature rise compared to pre-industrial levels is far too high if we are to avoid dangerous climate change [Prof. Hans Joachim Schellnhuber, Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research -interview 5th March 2009, C.Zieler University of Copenhagen]: non-linear effects are already occurring at 0.8 ºC rise; tipping points may be already committed; we are probably well into the danger zone already. The new objective, for a safe climate will have to be a stabilisation target of around 300ppm CO2. This requires developed world emission reductions of: 45-50% by 2020; 95-100% by 2050 compared with the 5-25% by 2020 and 50-80% by 2050 currently under discussion.”
- Key Messages from the Congress – Climate Change: Global Risks, Challenges and Decisions – Copenhague 10-12/03/2009 – International Alliance of Research Universities – http://climatecongress.ku.dk/newsroom/congress_key_messages/ – Peer Reviewed
“Recent observations confirm that, given high rates of observed emissions, the worst-case IPCC scenario trajectories (or even worse) are being realised. For many key parameters, the climate system is already moving beyond the patterns of natural variability within which our society and economy have developed and thrived.”
– Peer Reviewed
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