Joseph Ballard et al (2010) – Climate change is making the world a more dangerous place – http://www.trumanproject.org/files/misc/Truman_Project_-_Clean_Energy_Ad.pdf “It’s threatening America’s security. The Pentagon and security leaders of both parties consider climate disruption to be a “threat multiplier” – it exacerbates existing problems by decreasing stability, increasing conflict, and incubating the socioeconomic conditions that foster terrorist recruitment. The State Department, the National Intelligence Council and the CIA all agree, and all are planning for future climate-based threats. America’s billion-dollar-a-day dependence on oil makes us vulnerable to unstable and unfriendly regimes. A substantial amount of that oil money ends up in the hands of terrorists. Consequently, our military is forced to operate in hostile territory, and our troops are attacked by terrorists funded by U. S. oil dollars, while rogue regimes profit off of our dependence. As long as the American public is beholden to global energy prices, we will be at the mercy of these rogue regimes. Taking control of our energy future means preventing future conflicts around the world and protecting Americans here at home. It is time to secure America with clean energy. We can create millions of jobs in a clean energy economy while mitigating the effects of climate change across the globe. We call on Congress and the administration to enact strong, comprehensive climate and energy legislation to reduce carbon pollution and lead the world in clean energy technology.”
Jeremy Leggett (1999) – The Carbon War. Global Warming and the End of the Oil Era – Routledge (Taylor & Francis Group) – ISBN 0-415-93102-9 – 342 pp. “Submarine data on Arctic ice thickness should have been released to the imperilled world the moment the first IPCC came out in 1990. But it took the military 10 years to do the obvious.”
R. Kwok and D. A. Rothrock (2009) – Decline in Arctic sea ice thickness from submarine and ICESat records: 1958-2008 – Geophysical Research Letters 36 L15501 doi:10.1029/2009GL039035 – 06/08/2009 – Jet Propulsion Laboratory, California Institute of Technology; Applied Physics Laboratory, University of Washington, Seattle “There is growing evidence that dramatic climate change may occur suddenly, a development that has even gotten the Pentagon’s attention. (ref) A report commissioned by Andrew Marshall, the father of Star Wars and the military’s gray-beard expert on future strategic threats, describes the human disasters that would occur if the climate shifted abruptly in a decade or two, as happened some 12,000 years ago.”
Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. (2004) – Crimes Against Nature – HarperCollins Publishers – ISBN 0-06-074687-4 “There is growing evidence that dramatic climate change may occur suddenly, a development that has even gotten the Pentagon’s attention. (ref) A report commissioned by Andrew Marshall, the father of Star Wars and the military’s gray-beard expert on future strategic threats, describes the human disasters that would occur if the climate shifted abruptly in a decade or two, as happened some 12,000 years ago.”
Varios autores – Climate Change ,Pentagon’s Weather Nightmare,& Andrew Marshall as Oz Wizard of 9-11 – Portland Independent Media Center – 22/02/2004 – http://portland.indymedia.org/en/2004/02/281049.shtml “It seems that Andrew Marshall is the strategist, while front men like Rumsfeld, Wolfowitz, Cheney, Bush, and others are amanuenses and factotums. In other words, Andrew Marshall is one of the people, like in the Wizard of Oz, of whom you are supposed to «pay no attention to the man behind the curtain.» However, he is pulling the strings and the one making the plans–particularly the plans for the Pentagon’s «transformation/revolution» in military affairs, that is moving the US military into a ‘quick-global strike in-and-out’ organization–using unmanned air vehicles and global satellite surveillance of all kinds. Notice his other concern: global environmental change. The public construction of the 9-11 events as «international terror» link up with the same networks of Marshallites that are concerned with global environmental change.”
Union of Concerned Scientists (2007) – Smoke, Mirrors & Hot Air. How ExxonMobil Uses Big Tobacco’s Tactics to Manufacture Uncertainty on Climate Science – January 2007 – http://www.ucsusa.org/assets/documents/global_warming/exxon_report.pdf “Another organization used to launder information is the George C. Marshall Institute. During the 1990s, the Marshall Institute had been known primarily for its work advocating a “Star Wars” missile defense program. However, it soon became an important home for industry-financed “climate contrarians,” thanks in part to Exxon-Mobil’s financial backing. Since 1998, Exxon-Mobil has paid $630,000 primarily to underwrite the Marshall Institute’s climate change effort.”
Peter Schwartz and Doug Randall (2003) – An Abrupt Climate Change Scenario and Its Implications for United States National Security. Imagining the Unthinkable – The Pentagon – October 2003 – http://www.climate.org/PDF/clim_change_scenario.pdf “Could This Really Happen? Ocean, land, and atmosphere scientists at some of the world’s most prestigious organizations have uncovered new evidence over the past decade suggesting that the plausibility of severe and rapid climate change is higher than most of the scientific community and perhaps all of the political community is prepared for. If it occurs, this phenomenon will disrupt current gradual global warming trends, adding to climate complexity and lack of predictability. And paleoclimatic evidence suggests that such an abrupt climate change could begin in the near future.”
David Stipp – The Pentagon’s Weather Nightmare. The climate could change radically, and fast. That would be the mother of all national security issues – Fortune – 09/02/2004 – http://money.cnn.com/magazines/fortune/fortune_archive/2004/02/09/360120/index.htm “Renowned Department of Defense planner Andrew Marshall sponsored a groundbreaking effort to come to grips with the question. A Pentagon legend, Marshall, 82, is known as the Defense Department’s «Yoda»–a balding, bespectacled sage whose pronouncements on looming risks have long had an outsized influence on defense policy. Since 1973 he has headed a secretive think tank whose role is to envision future threats to national security. The Department of Defense’s push on ballistic-missile defense is known as his brainchild. Three years ago Defense Secretary Donald Rumsfeld picked him to lead a sweeping review on military «transformation,» the shift toward nimble forces and smart weapons … Like the terrorists, though, the seemingly remote climate risk may hit home sooner and harder than we ever imagined. In fact, the prospect has become so real that the Pentagon’s strategic planners are grappling with it … At least some federal thought leaders may be starting to perceive climate change less as a political annoyance and more as an issue demanding action … give the Pentagon’s fretful Yoda a little less to worry about.”
Richard B. Alley et al (2003) – Abrupt Climate Change – Science 299:2005-2010 – 28/03/2003 – 11 authors “Large, abrupt, and widespread climate changes with major impacts have occurred repeatedly in the past, when the Earth system was forced across thresholds. Although abrupt climate changes can occur for many reasons, it is conceivable that human forcing of climate change is increasing the probability of large, abrupt events. Were such an event to recur, the economic and ecological impacts could be large and potentially serious. Unpredictability exhibited near climate thresholds in simple models shows that some uncertainty will always be associated with projections. In light of these uncertainties, policy-makers should consider expanding research into abrupt climate change, improving monitoring systems, and taking actions designed to enhance the adaptability and resilience of ecosystems and economies … Even a slow forcing can trigger an abrupt change, and the forcing may be chaotic and thus undetectably small. For human concerns, attention is especially focused on persistent changes that affect subcontinental or larger regions, and for which ecosystems and economies are unprepared or are incapable of adapting.”
Committee on Abrupt Climate Change, Ocean Studies Board, Polar Research Board, Board on Atmospheric Sciences and Climate, Division on Earth and Life Studies, National Research Council (2002) – Abrupt Climate Change: Inevitable Surprises – National Academy of Sciences – “Recent scientific evidence shows that major and widespread climate changes have occurred with startling speed. For example, roughly half the north Atlantic warming since the last ice age was achieved in only a decade, and it was accompanied by significant climatic changes across most of the globe. Similar events, including local warmings as large as 16°C, occurred repeatedly during the slide into and climb out of the last ice age.”
Naomi Oreskes and Jonathan Renouf – Jason and the secret climate change war – The Sunday Times – The Sunday Times 07/09/2008 – http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/environment/article4690900.ece
“In 1979 they produced their report: coded JSR-78-07 and entitled The Long Term Impact of Atmospheric Carbon Dioxide on Climate. Now, with the benefit of hind-sight, it is remarkable how prescient it was.“
Naomi Oreskes and Jonathan Renouf – Jason and the secret climate change war – The Sunday Times – The Sunday Times 07/09/2008 – http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/environment/article4690900.ece
“Right on the first page, the Jasons predicted that carbon dioxide levels in the atmosphere would double from their preindustrial levels by about 2035. Today it’s expected this will happen by about 2050. They suggested that this doubling of carbon dioxide would lead to an average warming across the planet of 2-3C. Again, that’s smack in the middle of today’s predictions. They warned that polar regions would warm by much more than the average, perhaps by as much as 10 ºC or 12 ºC. That prediction is already coming true.”
General Gordon R. Sullivan USA (Ret.) (2007) – National Security and the Threat of Climate Change – The CNA Corporation – 01/01/2007 – http://www.cna.org/nationalsecurity/climate/report/SecurityandClimate_Final.pdf “We will pay for this one way or another,” he said. “We will pay to reduce greenhouse gas emissions today, and we’ll have to take an economic hit of some kind. Or we will pay the price later in military terms. And that will involve human lives. There will be a human toll. “There is no way out of this that does not have real costs attached to it. That has to hit home.”
General Gordon R. Sullivan USA (Ret.) (2007) – National Security and the Threat of Climate Change – The CNA Corporation – 01/01/2007 – http://www.cna.org/nationalsecurity/climate/report/SecurityandClimate_Final.pdf “The nature and pace of climate changes being observed today and the consequences projected by the consensus scientific opinion are grave and pose equally grave implications for our national security. Moving beyond the arguments of cause and effect, it is important that the U.S. military begin planning to address these potentially devastating effects. The consequences of climate change can affect the organization, training, equipping, and planning of the military services. The U.S. military has a clear obligation to determine the potential impacts of climate change on its ability to execute its missions in support of national security objectives. Climate change can act as a threat multiplier for instability in some of the most volatile regions of the world, and it presents significant national security challenges for the United States. Accordingly, it is appropriate to start now to help mitigate the severity of some of these emergent challenges. The decision to act should be made soon in order to plan prudently for the nation’s security. The increasing risks from climate change should be addressed now because they will almost certainly get worse if we delay.”
John M. Broder – Climate Change Seen as Threat to U.S. Security – The New York Times – 08/08/2009 – http://www.nytimes.com/2009/08/09/science/earth/09climate.html “The changing global climate will pose profound strategic challenges to the United States in coming decades, raising the prospect of military intervention to deal with the effects of violent storms, drought, mass migration and pandemics, military and intelligence analysts say … An exercise last December at the National Defense University, an educational institute that is overseen by the military, explored the potential impact of a destructive flood in Bangladesh that sent hundreds of thousands of refugees streaming into neighboring India, touching off religious conflict, the spread of contagious diseases and vast damage to infrastructure. “It gets real complicated real quickly,” said Amanda J. Dory, the deputy assistant secretary of defense for strategy, who is working with a Pentagon group assigned to incorporate climate change into national security strategy planning.”
Military Experts from Five Continents warn of Impact of Climate Change on Security – Institute for Environmental Security – 29/10/2009 – http://www.envirosecurity.org/news/single.php?id=148 “Joint statement calls for ambitious and equitable international agreement on climate … A group of serving and retired military officers from Africa, Asia, Europe, Latin America and the US released a statement today calling on all governments to “work for an ambitious and equitable international agreement” at the global climate talks in Copenhagen in December … A group of serving and retired military officers from Africa, Asia, Europe, Latin America and the US released a statement today calling on all governments to “work for an ambitious and equitable international agreement” at the global climate talks in Copenhagen in December … Incremental, and at times, abrupt, climate change is resulting in an unprecedented scale of human misery, loss of biodiversity and damage to infrastructure with consequential security implications that need to be addressed urgently.”
Quadrennial Defense Review – Department of Defense, USA – 29/01/2010 – http://www.defense.gov/qdr/QDR as of 29JAN10 1600.pdf «Climate change will shape the operating environment, roles, and missions that we undertake. The U.S. Global Change Research Program, composed of 13 federal agencies, reported in 2009 that climate-related changes are already being observed in every region of the world, including the United States and its coastal waters. Among these physical changes are increases in heavy downpours, rising temperature and sea level, rapidly retreating glaciers, thawing permafrost, lengthening growing seasons, lengthening ice-free seasons in the oceans and on lakes and rivers, earlier snowmelt, and alterations in river flows. Assessments conducted by the intelligence community indicate that climate change could have significant geopolitical impacts around the world, contributing to poverty, environmental degradation, and the further weakening of fragile governments. Climate change will contribute to food and water scarcity, will increase the spread of disease, and may spur or exacerbate mass migration. While climate change alone does not cause conflict, it may act as an accelerant of instability or conflict, placing a burden to respond on civilian institutions and militaries around the world. In addition, extreme weather events may lead to increased demands for defense support to civil authorities for humanitarian assistance or disaster response both within the United States and overseas. In some nations, the military is the only institution with the capacity to respond to a large-scale natural disaster. Proactive engagement with these countries can help build their capability to respond to such events. Working closely with relevant U.S. departments and agencies, DoD has undertaken environmental security cooperative initiatives with foreign militaries that represent a nonthreatening way of building trust, sharing best practices on installations management and operations, and developing response capacity.”
Brad Johnson – Pentagon: “Climate change, energy security, and economic stability are inextricably linked” – The Wonk Room – 01/02/2010 – http://wonkroom.thinkprogress.org/2010/02/01/qdr-climate-threat/ “For the first time, the Pentagon’s primary planning document addresses the threat of global warming, noting that it will accelerate instability and conflict around the globe. Former Senators John Warner (R-VA) and Hillary Clinton (D-NY) added language requiring the department to consider the effects of climate change on its facilities, capabilities, and missions to the 2008 National Defense Authorization Act. The Department of Defense’s Quadrennial Defense Review, officially released today, discusses the department’s “strategic approach to climate and energy”: …”
CIA Opens Center on Climate Change and National Security – Central Intelligence Agency – 07/01/2008 – https://www.cia.gov/news-information/press-releases-statements/center-on-climate-change-and-national-security.html “The Center is a small unit led by senior specialists from the Directorate of Intelligence and the Directorate of Science and Technology. Its charter is not the science of climate change, but the national security impact of phenomena such as desertification, rising sea levels, population shifts, and heightened competition for natural resources. The Center will provide support to American policymakers as they negotiate, implement, and verify international agreements on environmental issues.”
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